The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by a quarter point on Dec. 10, 2025, matching what CME futures, Polymarket, and Kalshi bettors had been signaling for weeks. The
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Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all
The White House’s freshly unveiled National Security Strategy reads less like a traditional diplomatic blueprint and more like a call for global fiscal expansion. For the crypto market, addicted to
Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran
Deutsche Bank (DB) said bitcoin’s BTC$87,267.39 slide to about $80,000 on Nov. 21, roughly 35% below its early-October peak, shows how quickly macroeconomic pressures and fragile market structure can erase
Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds
Bitcoin BTC$83,292.08 staged a modest rebound in morning U.S. hours Friday after a 10% selloff overnight as the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December jumped sharply following
